Bulgaria 1979 10 Leva KM#104 market value trend

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Hey Numista Community,

 

I've noticed a significant increase in the market value of the Bulgaria 1979 10 Leva Year of The Child coin (KM#104) from $25 a few years ago to $125 currently (Numista value corroborated by past auction results). 

 

What are your thoughts on why the market value of this coin has gone up? Have you observed similar trends in other coins or regions?

 

Looking forward to your insights.

 

Best regards,
Scythian


N#19803

How many sales are actually included in this trend? It may be only two. 

Jamais l'or n'a perdu la plus petite occasion de se montrer stupide. -Balzac

Nine.

 

Nine.

 

All from the same source!!!!

Globetrotter
Coin varieties in French:
https://monnaiesetvarietes.numista.com

The trend is downward in this sample, with one outlier.

Perhaps there was an event, a few years ago, when they were $25, that got a lot of interest up, and they were bid up, and it has since been satiated. I detect a graduate research topic.

Jamais l'or n'a perdu la plus petite occasion de se montrer stupide. -Balzac

In Bulgaria in the last 5 years there has been a spike in the price of commemorative coins / coins in general - this coin is just one example of wider trend in Bulgarian Numismatics 

 

More and more people are buying coins like this as an investment and as such are driving the prices up . 

Another factor is that before you could buy Socialist Era commemorative coins from the Bank  (BNB ) for a relatively low price ( usually just the precious metal content value and some premium ) , but in the last 2-3 years these stockpiles have finally run dry .

This has led to prices increasing since there is no longer the Bank to offer a cheap alternative .

In this particular case- which is a prime example  , in the 2019 Catalogue issued by the Sofia Numismatic Society , It says that these coins could be bought from the Bank  (BNB )for just  40.8 Leva .

I don't  have the 2020 or 2021 catalogue , but in the 2022 catalogue ( same issuer ) the coin has been depleted in the bank reserves , and now trades for 200 leva - a 5 fold increase in 3 years .  And that is just the price in the catalogue , which , given the auction results posted , It may have been undervalued .And the value keep going up 

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